A simple spatiotemporal rabies model for skunk and bat interaction in northeast Texas.

نویسندگان

  • Rebecca K Borchering
  • Hao Liu
  • Mara C Steinhaus
  • Carl L Gardner
  • Yang Kuang
چکیده

We formulate a simple partial differential equation model in an effort to qualitatively reproduce the spread dynamics and spatial pattern of rabies in northeast Texas with overlapping reservoir species (skunks and bats). Most existing models ignore reservoir species or model them with patchy models by ordinary differential equations. In our model, we incorporate interspecies rabies infection in addition to rabid population random movement. We apply this model to the confirmed case data from northeast Texas with most parameter values obtained or computed from the literature. Results of simulations using both our skunk-only model and our skunk and bat model demonstrate that the model with overlapping reservoir species more accurately reproduces the progression of rabies spread in northeast Texas.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The Phylogeography and Spatiotemporal Spread of South-Central Skunk Rabies Virus

The south-central skunk rabies virus (SCSK) is the most broadly distributed terrestrial viral lineage in North America. Skunk rabies has not been efficiently targeted by oral vaccination campaigns and represents a natural system of pathogen invasion, yielding insights to rabies emergence. In the present study we reconstructed spatiotemporal spread of SCSK in the whole territory of its circulati...

متن کامل

Spatiotemporal epidemic models for rabies among animals

Rabies is a serious concern to public health and wildlife management worldwide. Over the last three decades, various mathematical models have been proposed to study the transmission dynamics of rabies. In this paper we provide a mini-review on some reactiondiffusion models describing the spatial spread of rabies among animals. More specifically, we introduce the susceptible-exposed-infectious m...

متن کامل

Bayesian Spatiotemporal Pattern and Eco-climatological Drivers of Striped Skunk Rabies in the North Central Plains

Striped skunks are one of the most important terrestrial reservoirs of rabies virus in North America, and yet the prevalence of rabies among this host is only passively monitored and the disease among this host remains largely unmanaged. Oral vaccination campaigns have not efficiently targeted striped skunks, while periodic spillovers of striped skunk variant viruses to other animals, including...

متن کامل

Development of Primer Pairs from Molecular Typing of Rabies Virus Variants Present in Mexico

Nucleoprotein (N) gene from rabies virus (RABV) is a useful sequence target for variant studies. Several specific RABV variants have been characterized in different mammalian hosts such as skunk, dog, and bats by using anti-nucleocapsid monoclonal antibodies (MAbs) via indirect fluorescent antibody (IFA) test, a technique not available in many laboratories in Mexico. In the present study, a tot...

متن کامل

Ptosis as a presenting feature of bacterial meningitis.

To the Editors: Willoughby and Hammarin have recently discussed human rabies caused by bat rabies virus variants. They stated “the colonial species of bats found in very large numbers under bridges and in caves in central Texas have not transmitted rabies to humans.” The main bat species they are referring to is the Brazilian (Mexican) free-tailed bat, Tadarida brasiliensis, and the rabies viru...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Journal of theoretical biology

دوره 314  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2012